March 2026
CRG-INT-0326/7: The Insurance Layer — How Markets Decide When Wars Functionally End
26/03/26 06:32
CRG-INT-0326/7: The Insurance Layer — How Markets Decide When Wars Functionally End
Classification: System Activation Threshold Analysis
Division: Strategic Forecasting & Outcome Modeling (SFOM)
Timestamp: March 2026
Executive Summary
Wars do not functionally end when fighting stops. Read More…
Classification: System Activation Threshold Analysis
Division: Strategic Forecasting & Outcome Modeling (SFOM)
Timestamp: March 2026
Executive Summary
Wars do not functionally end when fighting stops. Read More…
CRG-INT-0326/6: Hormuz Cannot Be Secured — The Land-Sea Constraint
26/03/26 05:08
CRG-INT-0326/6: Hormuz Cannot Be Secured — The Land-Sea Constraint
Classification: Strategic Access Denial Analysis
Division: Strategic Forecasting & Outcome Modeling (SFOM)
Timestamp: March 2026
Executive Summary
The Strait of Hormuz cannot be reliably secured through maritime operations alone.
At the same time:
Read More…
Classification: Strategic Access Denial Analysis
Division: Strategic Forecasting & Outcome Modeling (SFOM)
Timestamp: March 2026
Executive Summary
The Strait of Hormuz cannot be reliably secured through maritime operations alone.
At the same time:
Read More…
CRG-INT-0326/5: Post-War Without Peace — The Emergence of Permanent Conflict Systems
25/03/26 13:31
CRG-INT-0326/5: Post-War Without Peace — The Emergence of Permanent Conflict Systems
Classification: System Transformation Analysis
Division: Strategic Forecasting & Outcome Modeling (SFOM)
Timestamp: March 2026
Executive Summary
The U.S.–Israel–Iran conflict is not an isolated war.
It is a transition event. Read More…
Classification: System Transformation Analysis
Division: Strategic Forecasting & Outcome Modeling (SFOM)
Timestamp: March 2026
Executive Summary
The U.S.–Israel–Iran conflict is not an isolated war.
It is a transition event. Read More…
CRG-INT-0326/4: The War That Cannot End — Structural Lock-In Dynamics
24/03/26 12:57
CRG-INT-0326/4: The War That Cannot End — Structural Lock-In Dynamics
Classification: System Persistence Analysis
Division: Strategic Forecasting & Outcome Modeling (SFOM)
Timestamp: March 2026
Executive Summary
The conflict between the U.S., Israel, and Iran is no longer governed by victory conditions.
It is governed by termination constraints.
Read More…
Classification: System Persistence Analysis
Division: Strategic Forecasting & Outcome Modeling (SFOM)
Timestamp: March 2026
Executive Summary
The conflict between the U.S., Israel, and Iran is no longer governed by victory conditions.
It is governed by termination constraints.
Read More…
CRG-INT-0326/3: How Iran Wins Without Winning
24/03/26 06:45
CRG-INT-0326/3: How Iran Wins Without Winning
Classification: Strategic Outcome Inversion
Division: Strategic Forecasting & Outcome Modeling (SFOM)
Timestamp: March 2026
Executive Summary
Iran does not need to win the war.
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Classification: Strategic Outcome Inversion
Division: Strategic Forecasting & Outcome Modeling (SFOM)
Timestamp: March 2026
Executive Summary
Iran does not need to win the war.
Read More…
CRG-INT-0326/2: Iran War Outcome Probability — Illusion of Victory — Loss of Control Dynamics
23/03/26 16:35
CRG-INT-0326/2: Iran War Outcome Probability — Illusion of Victory — Loss of Control Dynamics
Classification: Strategic Outcome Assessment
Timestamp: March 2026
Author: Condor Research Group
Executive Summary
The probability of a decisive U.S.–Israeli victory over Iran is declining, not increasing.
Despite early tactical successes, the war is transitioning from a kinetic dominance phase to a systemic endurance phase—a domain in which Iran holds structural advantages. Read More…
Classification: Strategic Outcome Assessment
Timestamp: March 2026
Author: Condor Research Group
Executive Summary
The probability of a decisive U.S.–Israeli victory over Iran is declining, not increasing.
Despite early tactical successes, the war is transitioning from a kinetic dominance phase to a systemic endurance phase—a domain in which Iran holds structural advantages. Read More…
CRG-INT-ESC-0326/1: Strategic Gravity Shift — Middle East Escalation Now Dominates the Conflict Map
09/03/26 16:17
CRG-INT-ESC-0326
Strategic Gravity Shift — Middle East Escalation Now Dominates the Conflict Map
The latest signal from the CRG Escalation Monitoring Pipeline indicates a clear redistribution of global conflict gravity. Read More…
Strategic Gravity Shift — Middle East Escalation Now Dominates the Conflict Map
The latest signal from the CRG Escalation Monitoring Pipeline indicates a clear redistribution of global conflict gravity. Read More…